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Foreign Exchange Market (Forex)
A market where currencies are traded based on supply and demand.
T.R.I.P.S.
Mnemonic for the four primary 'shifters' of currency demand and supply: Relative Real Interest Rates, Relative Inflation Rates, Relative Income Levels, Productivity/Tastes.
Relative Real Interest Rates ($r$)
The return on financial assets that influences currency demand and supply.
Relative Inflation Rates ($PL$)
The purchasing power of a currency compared to other currencies.
Relative Income Levels ($Y$)
The economic capability of a country to buy imports, influencing currency exchange.
Capital Inflow
When foreign investors purchase domestic financial assets due to higher domestic interest rates.
Capital Outflow
When domestic investors move their money abroad seeking better returns due to lower domestic interest rates.
Currency Appreciation
The increase in the value of a currency relative to others.
Currency Depreciation
The decrease in the value of a currency relative to others.
Expansionary Fiscal Policy
Government action that increases spending or decreases taxes to stimulate the economy.
Contractionary Fiscal Policy
Government action that decreases spending or increases taxes to cool down the economy.
Expansionary Monetary Policy
Central bank action that increases the money supply and lowers interest rates to stimulate the economy.
Contractionary Monetary Policy
Central bank action that decreases the money supply and raises interest rates to control inflation.
Net Exports ($NX$)
The difference between a country's exports and imports.
Stronger Dollar
A situation where the value of the currency appreciates, making imports cheaper and exports more expensive.
Weaker Dollar
A situation where the value of the currency depreciates, making imports more expensive and exports cheaper.
Aggregate Demand (AD)
The total demand for goods and services within a particular market.
Higher Domestic Interest Rates
Results in increased demand for a country's currency and can lead to currency appreciation.
Lower Domestic Interest Rates
Results in decreased demand for a country's currency and can lead to currency depreciation.
Inflation's Effect on Currency
High inflation generally leads to currency depreciation due to reduced purchasing power.
Crowding Out Effect
When government deficit spending raises interest rates, negatively impacting private investment and net exports.
Search for Yield
The tendency of financial capital to seek the highest possible return on investment.
Impact of Higher Interest Rates on Capital Flows
Higher interest rates attract foreign capital, leading to currency appreciation.
Impact of Lower Interest Rates on Capital Flows
Lower interest rates lead to capital outflow, resulting in currency depreciation.
Real Rate of Return
The increase in an investment's value after accounting for inflation.
Purchasing Power Parity
The theory that currencies should have the same purchasing power in different countries.
Automatic Stabilizers in Currency
Mechanisms, such as currency depreciation, that help stabilize the economy without direct intervention.