The real exchange rate is important to find a country exports and imports
Real exchange rate = (e * P) / P*
P = price index for a US basket
P* = a price index for a foreign basket
e = nominal exchange rate between the US dollar and foreign currencies
An appreciation in the US real exchange rate causes US net exports to fall. A depreciation in the US real exchange rate causes US net exports to rise.
31-3 A First Theory of Exchange-Rate Determination: Purchasing-Power Parity
Purchasing-power parity: a theory of exchange rates whereby a unit of any given currency should be able to buy the same quantity of goods in all countries
The Basic Logic of Purchasing-Power Parity
Law of one price: a good must sell for the same price in all locations, otherwise there would be opportunities for profit left unexploited
Arbitrage: the process of taking advantage of price differences for the same item in different markets
Parity means equality
Purchasing power means the value of money in terms of the number of goods it can buy
Implications of Purchasing-Power Parity
The nominal exchange rate between currencies of two countries depends on the price levels in those countries
1/P = e/P*
P = price index for a US basket
P* = a price index for a foreign basket
e = nominal exchange rate between the US dollar and foreign currencies
1 = eP / P*
If the purchasing power of the dollar is always the same at home and abroad, then the real exchange rate-the relative price of domestic and foreign goods-cannot change
e = P*/P
According to the theory of purchasing-power parity, the nominal exchange rate between the currencies of two countries must reflect the price levels in those countries.
When the central bank prints large quantities of money, that money loses value both in terms of the goods and services it can buy and in terms of the number of other currencies it can buy.
Limitations of Purchasing-Power Parity
Exchange rates do not always ensure a dollar has the same real value in all countries all the time
Theory #1: Some goods are not easily traded. If place A is more expensive than place B, producers will move to place A and consumers will move to place B
Theory #2: Purchasing-power parity does not always hold is that even tradable goods are not always perfect substitutes when produced in different countries